The Best of 2010

MELHOR DIRETOR: David Fincher ("The Social Network")

MELHOR ATOR: Jesse Eisenberg ("The Social Network")
MELHOR ATRIZ: Tilda Swinton ("I Am Love")
MELHOR ATOR COADJUVANTE: Andrew Garfield ("The Social Network" & "Never Let Me Go")

MELHOR ATRIZ COADJUVANTE: Olivia Williams ("The Ghost Writer")
MELHOR ROTEIRO ORIGINAL: Blue Valentine
MELHOR ROTEIRO ADAPTADO: The Social Network

MELHOR CINEMATOGRAFIA: Enter The Void

MELHOR MONTAGEM: The Social Network
MELHOR DIREÇÃO DE ARTE: I Am Love
MELHOR FIGURINO: I Am Love
MELHOR TRILHA SONORA: The Social Network

MELHOR SOM: The Social Network

MELHOR EFEITOS VISUAIS: Inception

WORTH CHECKING OUT: Easy A, The Housemaid, The King's Speech, Poetry, Restrepo, Scott Pilgrim Vs. The World, Somewhere, Uncle Bonmee Who Can Recall His Past Lives.

20. Senna

19. The American

18. Tropa de Elite 2

17. Incpetion

16. The Fighter

15. 127 Hours

14. White Material

13. Winter's Bone

12. The Ghost Writer

11. Dogtooth

10. Greenberg

9. Carlos

8. Blue Valentine

7. Toy Story 3

6. Copie Conforme

5. Enter The Void

3. Exit Through the Gift Shop & Catfish

4. Black Swan

2. I Am Love

1. The Social Network

Final Oscar Nominations - Predix

So, tomorrow we will know it all...

EST PICTURE

127 Hours

Black Swan

The Fighter

Inception

The King's Speech

The Social Network*

Toy Story 3

True Grit

The Town

Winter's Bone

DIRECTOR

Darren Aronofsky - Black Swan

David Fincher - The Social Network*

Tom Hooper - The King's Speech

Roman Polansky - The Ghost Writer

David O'Russel - The Fighter

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

Javier Barden - Biutiful

Jeff Bridges - True Grit

Jesse Einsenberg - The Social Network

Colin Firth - The King's Speech*

James Franco - 127 Hours

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

Annete Benning - The Kids Are Alright

Nicole Kidman - Rabbit Hole

Jennifer Lawrence - Winter's Bone

Natalie Portman - Black Swan*

Tilda Swinton - I Am Love

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Christian Bale - The Fighter*

Andrew Garfield - The Social Network

John Hawkes - Winter's Bone

Jeremy Renner - The Town

Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Amy Adams - The Fighter

Helena Bonham Carter - "The King's Speech"

Melissa Leo - The Fighter*

Hailee Steinfeld - True Grit

Jackie Weaver - Animal Kingdon

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Another Year

Blue Valentine

The Fighter

The Kids Are Alright

The King's Speech*

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

The Ghost Writer

The Social Network*

Toy Story 3

True Grit

Winter's Bone

ANIMATED FEATURE

How To Train Your Dragon

The Ilusionist

Toy Story 3*

CINEMATOGRAPHY

127 Hours

Black Swan

True Grit*

Shutter Island

The Social Network

ART DIRECTION

Alice in Wondeland

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows

Inception

The King's Speech*

True Grit

COSTUME DESIGN

Alice in Wondeland

Black Swan

Secretariat

The King's Speech*

True Grit

EDITING

127 Hours

Black Swan

The King's Speech

Inception

The Social Network*

MAKE UP

Alice in Wonderland*

The Way Back

The Wolfman

ORIGINAL SCORE

Inception

The Ghost Writer

The King's Speech

Never Let Me Go

The Social Network*

ORIGINAL SONG

"You Haven't Seen the Last of Me" - Burlesque

"Coming Home" - Country Strong

"I See The Light" - Tangled

"We Belong Together" - Toy Story 3*

"Shine" - Waiting for Superman

SOUND EDITING

Black Swan

Inception

The Social Network

Toy Story 3

Tron Legacy*

SOUND MIXING

Black Swan

Inception*

The Social Network

True Grit

Tron Legacy

SPECIAL FX

Alice In Wonderland

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows

Inception*

Iron Man 2

Tron Legacy

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Exit Through the Gift Shop

Inside Job*

Restrepo

Waiting for Superman

Waste Land

FOREIGN LANGUAGE

Outside the Law

Incendies

In a Better World

Biutiful

Even the Rain

In don't do shorts... sorry

Oscar Predix December

BEST PICTURE

127 Hours

Black Swan

Inception

The King's Speech

The Social Network*

Shutter Island

Toy Story 3

True Grit

The Town

Winter's Bone

DIRECTOR

Danny Boyle - 127 Hours

Joel Coen & Ethan Coen - True Grit

David Fincher - The Social Network*

Tom Hooper - The King's Speech

Roman Polansky - The Ghost Writer

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

Javier Barden - Biutiful

Jeff Bridges - True Grit

Jesse Einsenberg - The Social Network

Colin Firth - The King's Speech*

James Franco - 127 Hours

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

Annete Benning - The Kids Are Alright

Nicole Kidman - Rabbit Hole

Jennifer Lawrence - Winter's Bone

Natalie Portman - Black Swan*

Tilda Swinton - I Am Love

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Christian Bale - The Fighter*

Andrew Garfield - The Social Network

John Hawkes - Winter's Bone

Jeremy Renner - The Town

Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Amy Adams - The Fighter*

Helena Bonham Carter - "The King's Speech"

Hailee Steinfeld - True Grit

Melisa Leo - The Fighter

Olivia Williams - The Ghost Writer

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Another Year

The Fighter

The Kids Are Alright

The King's Speech*

Inception

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

The Ghost Writer

The Social Network*

Toy Story 3

True Grit

Winter's Bone

CINEMATOGRAPHY

127 Hours

Black Swan

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1

True Grit*

The Way Back

ART DIRECTION

Alice in Wonderland

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1

Inception

The King's Speech*

True Grit

COSTUME DESIGN

Alice in Wondeland

The King's Speech*

Secretariat

The Tempest

True Grit

EDITING

127 Hours

Black Swan

The King's Speech

Inception

The Social Network*

MAKE UP

Alice in Wonderland*

Shutter Island

The Wolfman

ORIGINAL SCORE

Inception

The King's Speech*

Never Let Me Go

The Social Network

Toy Story 3

ORIGINAL SONG

"You Haven't Seen the Last of Me" - Burlesque

"Coming Home" - Country Strong

"I See The Light" - Tangled

"We Belong Together" - Toy Story 3*

"Shine" - Waiting for Superman

SOUND EDITING

127 Hours

Inception

Scott Pilgrim Vs The World

Toy Story 3

Tron Legacy*

SOUND MIXING

127 Hours

Inception*

The Social Network

True Grit

Tron Legacy

SPECIAL FX

Alice In Wonderland

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallow Pt. 1

Inception

Iron Man 2

Tron Legacy*

ANIMATED FEATURE

How to Train your Dragon

The Illusionist

Toy Story 3*

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Exit Through the Gift Shop

Inside Job*

Restrepo

Waiting for Superman

Waste Land

NBR Predictions & Winners

Best Film
THE KING'S SPEECH

Top Ten Films
(In alphabetical order) 127 HOURS, THE KIDS ARE ALRIGHT, LOVE&OTHER DRUGS, SHUTTER ISLAND, THE SOCIAL NETWORK, SOMEWHERE, THE TOWN, THE WAY BACK, TOY STORY 3.

Best Documentary
INSIDE JOB

Top Independent Films
(In alphabetical order) BARNEY'S VISION, BLACK SWAM, BLUE VALENTINE, THE GHOST WRITER, GREENBERG, THE KIDS ARE ALRIGHT, WINTER'S BONE, SOMEWHERE

Best Actor
COLIN FIRTH, The King's Speech

Best Actress
ANETTE BENNING, The Kids Are Alright & Mother and Child

Best Supporting Actor
ANDREW GARFIELD, The Social Network

Best Supporting Actress
LESLIE MANVILLE, Another Year

Best Ensemble Cast
THE TOWN

Breakthrough Performance by an Actor
JESSE EISENBERG, The Social Network

Breakthrough Performance by an Actress
JENIFFER LAWRENCE, Winter's Bone

Best Director
PETER WEIR, The Way Back

Best Adapted Screenplay
AARON SORKIN, The Social Network

Best Original Screenplay
JOEL AND ETHAN COEN, A Serious Man

Best Animated Feature
TOY STORY 3

Oscar Predix - Festival Line Ups

Now that the major films have been revealed it is one rushed march till March 2011. Who do you think will be on the carped come oscar time?

So, we crossed the threshold of the middle of the year. why not give it a try?

BEST PICTURE

127 Hours

Another Year

Black Swam

Fair Game

Hereafter

Inception

The King's Speech

The Social Network*

Toy Story 3

The Way Back

DIRECTOR

Danny Boyle - 127 Hours

David Fincher - The Social Network*

Mike Leigh - Another year

Peter Weir - The Way Back

Tom Hooper - The King's Speech

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

Jesse Einsenberg - The Social Network

Colin Firth - The King's Speech*

Ryan Gosling - Blue Valentine

James Franco - 127 Hours

Sean Penn - Fair Game

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

Annete Benning - The Kids Are Alright

Jennifer Lawrence - Winter's Bone

Nicole Kidman - Rabbit Hole

Natalie Portman - Black Swam*

Naomi Watts - Fair Game

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Christian Bale - The Fighter

Jim Broadbent - Another Year

Matt Damon - True Grit

Andrew Garfield - The Social Network*

Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Helena Bonham Carter - "The King's Speech"

Leslie Manville - Another Year*

Hailee Steinfeld - True Grit

Barbra Hershey - Black Swam

Dianne Wiest - Rabbit Role

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Another Year*

Black Swam

The Kids Are Alright

Inception

The King's Speech

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Rabbit Hole

127 Hours

The Social Network*

Toy Story 3

True Grit

CINEMATOGRAPHY

127 Hours

Black Swam

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1

True Grit*

The Way Back

ART DIRECTION

Inception

The King's Speech*

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1

True Grit

The Tempest

COSTUME DESIGN

Alice in Wondeland

True Grit

The King's Speech*

Secretariat

The Tempest

EDITING

The King's Speech

Inception

127 Hours

The Way Back

The Social Network*

MAKE UP

Alice in Wonderland*

Harry Potter

The Wolfman

ORIGINAL SCORE

Inception*

The King's Speech

Never Let Me Go

The Tempest

Toy Story 3

ORIGINAL SONG

Burlesque

Tangled

Tangled

Toy Story 3*

Waiting for Superman

SOUND EDITING

Inception

127 Hours

Toy Story 3

TRON Legacy*

The Social Network

SOUND MIXING

Inception*

127 Hours

Harry Potter

The Social Network

True Grit

SPECIAL FX

Alice In Wonderland

Harry Potter

Inception

Iron Man 2

TRON Legacy*

ANIMATED FEATURE

Toy Story 3*

The Illusionist

How to Train your Dragon

OSCAR PREDIX 2011 - July 2010

So, we crossed the threshold of the middle of the year. why not give it a try?

BEST PICTURE

Another Year

Black Swam

Blue Valentine

The Fighter

Inception

Rabbit Hole

The Social Network*

Somewhere

Toy Story 3

Tree of Life

DIRECTOR

Christopher Nolan - Inception

David Fincher - The Social Network*

David O. Russel - The Fighter

Darren Aronofsky - Black Swan

Terrence Malick - Tree of Life

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

Robert Duvall - Get Low*

Colin Firth - The King's Speech

Ryan Gosling - Blue Valentine

Jim Sturgess - The Way Back

Mark Whalberg - The Fighter

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

Annete Benning - The Kids Are Alright

Jennifer Lawrence - Winter's Bone

Nicole Kidman - Rabbit Role*

Natalie Portman - Black Swam

Michelle Williams - Blue Valentine

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Christian Bale - The Fighter*

Vincente Cassel - Black Swam

Aaron Eckhardt - Rabbit Role

Andrew Garfield - The Social Network

Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Elle Fanning - Somewhere

Leslie Manville - Another Year*

Helen Mirren - Brighton Rock

Andrea Riseborough - Brighton Rock

Dianne Wiest - Rabbit Role

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Another Year

Black Swam

The Kids Are Alright

Inception*

Somewhere

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Rabbit Role

The Social Network*

Toy Story 3

True Grit

The Way Back

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Inception

The Tempest

The Tree of Life

True Grit

The Way Back

ART DIRECTION

The Fighter

The King's Speech

The Tree of Life

True Grit

The Tempest

COSTUME DESIGN

The Fighter

The Conspirator

The King's Speech

The Tempest

The Tree of Life

EDITING

Black Swan

The Fighter

Inception

The Social Network

The Tree of Life

Oscar Winners Predix

And so it comes the time to predict the winners...

As a side note, this is the first year with 10 Nominees for Best Picture, and a preferential ballot. So lets see how things actually play out. Either way, it is a very good year for nominees overall, failures still seen on the Best Song and not any major presence of foreign films on main categories, but alas, it IS an american award.

From least to major categories (closer to how the night will play out). I will retain myself from predicting short categories.

Best Documentary

WILL WIN: Food Inc.

SHOULD WIN: The Cove

So we have a great field of contenders this year. I feel like The Cove is the most entertaining and in some ways groundbreaking, but Food Inc., also a very catchy and very well made doc, will hit harder with the American audience. Keep in mind that these is a categories that only those who've proved to have seen all nominees can vote.

Best Animated Film

WILL WIN: Up

SHOULD WIN: Fantastic Mr. Fox

Very good year of nominees as well, with the refreshing surprise of "The Secret of Kells" among. I like both of the favorites, but there can be only one winner, the Best Pict nominee.

Best Song

WILL WIN: Weary Kind "Crazy Heart"

SHOULD WIN: Weary Kind "Crazy Heart"

Controversy comes in the form of a "no show" of the song nominees at these year festivities, producers say the nominees are too weak and unrecognizable. Well I beg to differ, and the best and more soul full one at least is the one that is going to win.

Best Make Up

WILL WIN: Star Trek

SHOULD WIN: Ill Divo
An interesting range of nominees indeed. Ill Divo especially, after premiering at Cannes two years ago. But as the academy vote en large in this, the most seen and popular is your winner.

Best Visual FX

WILL WIN: Avatar

SHOULD WIN: Avatar
Is there a contest? Just take home the oscar already.

Best Sound Editing

WILL WIN: Avatar

SHOULD WIN: Avatar
Again. (even tough Up & Star Trek have pretty original sound creations as well... but they stand no chance to the biggest film of all time*)

Best Sound Mixing

WILL WIN: The Hurt Locker

SHOULD WIN: The Hurt Locker
and if the biggest film of all time* looses here does it loose the ultimate goal? Safe thinking and rational one would give it the award as it is, but something about the mood and explosions of the locker makes me think the academy might start changing gears in the night here.

Best Foreign Film

WILL WIN: The Secret of Her Eyes

SHOULD WIN: The White Ribbon
Two masterpieces nominates and the oscar might go to the most sensitive and "traditional" effort... well the world turns around as it is and no one can change the laws of gravity.

Best Score

WILL WIN: Up

SHOULD WIN: The Hurt Locker
Again. Safe and expert money gives it to Up (one more scratch at Avatar's amour, although it does stand a chance). But "The Hurt Locker" sensory subjectivity in score is the real breakthrough here... all the rest is the classical orchestra.

Best Editing

WILL WIN: The Hurt Locker

SHOULD WIN: The Hurt Locker
It is again the David and Goliath battle, and both would richly deserve the award. Most Best Picture winners take home the editing award as well (more than any other relative prize-except Director) and so whoever wins this takes home the ultimate goal. The things is that what makes "The Hurt Locker" function as it does is the mystery and pacing that are mounted up from the footage, acting and story captured and thus tension (extreme) is created. I believe most voters are film connoisseurs to the level of understanding how fundamental editing is, and its skill and precision is used more obviously in the front runner (not putting down the on-time on-set editing that had to be created for the top grosser Avatar).

Best Costume Design

WILL WIN: Nine

SHOULD WIN: Bright Star
Again a category without front runners, common sense would give the award to "The Young Victoria", but since the academy vote at large I believe most would be have seen nine and would be lazy to watch other movies in "minor" categories.

Best Art Direction

WILL WIN: Avatar

SHOULD WIN: Avatar
A strange range of nominations I'd say, there were a lot of deserving movies that could be here this year including Best Picture nominee "Inglorious Basterds" and indie mainstream "Where The Wild Things Are", but as it is the marvelous scenery of Pandora has it on the bag.

Best Cinematography

WILL WIN: Avatar

SHOULD WIN: The White Ribbon
A very good selection of nominations, with one or two more mainstream works that could be replaced by something with more edge (like Antichrist or Where The Wild Things Are), but alas, "The White Ribbon" surprisingly won the category prize for its sensible BW shadows and precise and intriguing framings but as it happens most of the times in Oscar the epic and grandeur overshadows the rest, so even being digitally created and crafted the visions of Avatar are just too colorful and strong to ignore. And it will be a deserving winner.

Best Adapted Screenplay

WILL WIN: Up in the Air

SHOULD WIN: Up in the Air

Best Original Screenplay

WILL WIN: Inglorious Basterds

SHOULD WIN: A Serious Man

Best Supporting Actress

WILL WIN: M'Onique "Precious"

SHOULD WIN: M'Onique "Precious"
Locked and deserved.

Best Supporting Actor

WILL WIN: Christoph Waltz "Inglorious Basterds"

SHOULD WIN: Christoph Waltz "Inglorious Basterds"
Locked, loaded and deserved.

Best Leading Actress

WILL WIN: Gabourney Sidibe "Precious"

SHOULD WIN: Carey Mulligan "An Education"
I'm getting it out there and calling this the upset of the night, ala Adrien Brody, actually in the shoes of the Pianist. Why? Something tells me that there is a fierce competition going on between favorite Sandra Bullock and second and all time favorite Meryl Street (like Daniel Day Lewis and Jack Nicholson back in 2002) and that as an outcome a split vote will happen. A lot dont wanna embrace Sandra (she just doesn't come across as an oscar winner... yet) and Meryl, well, she is brilliant but this is not her top notch performance in a top notch movie. And so... there comes the charming and well deserving Sidibe. She has been walking the carpet, she has a popular and edgy film-performance behind her. I know she is young, she is black and does not look like your winner, but I am risking and calling it so. Wise money would give it to Sandra tough.

Best Leading Actor

WILL WIN: Jeff Bridges "Crazy Heart"

SHOULD WIN: Jeremy Renner "The Hurt Locker"
Locked, loaded, charmed, recognized, and not so sure if the most deserving of the field. In my humble opinion.

Best Director

WILL WIN: Kathryn Bigelow "The Hurt Locker"

SHOULD WIN: Kathryn Bigelow "The Hurt Locker"
Giving it to a female and deserving director for such a confident movie is just too big of a story to ignore. And she deserves it.

Best Picture

WILL WIN: The Hurt Locker

SHOULD WIN: Avatar
I've been going back and forth about who is going to win the biggie of the night, david, goliath or the basterds? goliath, david or...? and when a situation presents itself like that it always favors the front runner, specially if it is regarded as the best as well. And so my final choice is that. I acknowledged Inglorious for a moment, and it does have a chance but I think that its specificity and recent push is just an setback and not enough time to just get it. And Avatar, well, it might win in the end, it has the money, it has the story, it deserves for the tremendous effort and outcome, but it is also very specific and Cameron already has it. Don't matter how it plays out, and whatever it is said, it will be a close call for the winner. So bring it on!

Tally

The Hurt Locker - 4
Avatar - 4
Inglorious Basterds - 2
Up - 2
Crazy Heart - 2
All the Rest: 1